Trump's Openness to Direct Talks With Kim Jong Un Is Still a Good Idea
It's not the first time Trump has made the bold overture to North Korea, but it's the first time he has done so as President.
President Trump said today that he is willing to meet with North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un in an attempt to diffuse the escalating crisis on the Korean Peninsula, telling Bloomberg News “If it would be appropriate for me to meet with him, I would absolutely, I would be honored to do it. If it’s under the, again, under the right circumstances. But I would do that.” Trump added, “Most political people would never say that, but I’m telling you under the right circumstances I would meet with him.” The comments came as news broke that America's controversial THAAD anti-ballistic missile defense system that has been installed in an accelerated fashion on a golf course in South Korea has come online, and is now officially deemed operational.
Most people would likely say that it is never appropriate to have the leader of the free world talk directly to a deviant despot like Kim Jung Un. For others, there are sure to be many different ideas of what "the right circumstances" would have to be in order to make such a meeting possible. Most within the Washington establishment would probably agree those circumstances would be nothing like they are in reality today—not even close. But White House press secretary Sean Spicer seems to have an idea of what those circumstances could look like for the Trump administration, and they don't seem like too much of an ask, really. "Clearly conditions are not there right now ... We’ve got to see their provocative behavior ratcheted down,” Spicer said.
The idea of "elevating" a rogue regime that puts large portions of its population in brutal labor camps and executes by means of anti-aircraft guns and other exotic methods anyone its ruler thinks may defy or challenge him—not to mention the whole still-at-war-with-South-Korea, the nuclear weapons, and the missile-development issues—by giving its leader the opportunity to meet with the leader of free world is seen as a non-starter by most in the diplomatic community. And it has been argued that doing so would legitimize the regime and its heinous activities. But look where this thinking has gotten us: more than 60 years after the Korean War ended there is still no closure to that conflict, and the security situation is rapidly deteriorating in the region, with the US mainland likely coming within reach of Kim's ballistic missiles by the beginning of the new decade.
The fact is that this isn't the first time Trump has stated that he would negotiate directly with Kim Jong Un. He did so at the end of the primary season last May. Although his strange fascination with the strongmen tyrants of the world is nauseating, Trump's willingness to attempt to usher in a new paradigm when it comes to the North Korean issue is a breath of fresh air. Not just that, but talking with North Korea unilaterally at the highest levels has little downside if framed properly: as another step to do anything possible to achieve peace, even if there are low expectations for success. I wrote about this in detail last May following Trump's admission that he would meet with Kim directly, here was my take on the issue:
"The fact of the matter is that the North Koreans have had one major ask over the last decade-and-a-half of fragmented negotiations: unilateral negotiations with the United States, which they still ask for today.
The US has been absolutely steadfast in not granting this single request, and it's infuriated the North Koreans. Sure, old-school diplomatic insiders and traditional pundits will say that doing so will simply elevate the North Korean regime and lend legitimacy to Kim Jong Un’s rule. Well, guess what? Kim Jong Un is the ruler of North Korea whether you like it or not, and considering that we've talked to other dictators in the past, and have even subsidized their power structure, why is talking to Kim Jong Un any different?
Above all, the long-standing policy toward North Korea has been a therapeutic solution at best. Now that the North Korean state is racing towards long-range nuclear ballistic missile capability and miniaturizing its nuclear warheads, the time for a change in our diplomatic strategy has clearly come.
Simply sitting down with Kim Jong Un, or at least having high-level unilateral negotiations with officials from both sides, will change the game and will at the very least allow us to see if this new approach is capable of being effective or not.
Going into the room with an incredibly strong package—including energy and food resources, a structured plan to open up the North Korean economy to foreign investment, illustrating what the lifting of harsh sanctions will look like for the North Koreans, and a route for normalization and reconciliation with South Korea—will provide the best shot at ending 60 years of bitter and dangerous tension. In addition, China and other nations can be a major part of this opportunity, but the US has to lead it and a President should deliver it. Doing so will mark an unprecedented and powerful diplomatic gesture, one that North Korea will know they won’t likely ever get again.
If such an effort fails miserably, what's lost? Nothing tangible. The North Koreans will spin their state-level propaganda any way they want, regardless of the outcome. They do it every day. The US will look like it's serious about peace on the world stage, and is willing to do anything it can to see the tension on the Korean Peninsula come to an amicable end.
For those who think it will embarrass the United States, I ask how so? If we come ready to make a deal and North Korea clearly does not, we would then be more certain of their intentions than ever, and could adjust our foreign policy and military footprint accordingly. It's not as if the world community thinks highly of North Korea as it is; if they decided to walk away, or not show up at all, they would just go back to being the dangerous, clown-like regime they were before."
Although President Trump may be among the most "love-hate" Presidents of all time, it is worth applauding him for being willing to get hands-on with this critical issue, including being willing look Kim Jong Un in the eye and make a case for peace and a better way forward for the North Korean people. He can also make it clear that the US will not allow him to obtain a long-range delivery system like an ICBM. As I put in my earlier piece on the subject, the President should not be above this type of engagement in the first place:
"Finally, this proposition brings up the question of how, exactly, we as Americans view the President of the United States. Has the office become a royalty-like position, one where the king or queen does not dirty their hands with such unpleasant matters as direct peace negotiations with a bitter foe? Or does the President work for the American people to better our situation in any way possible, including using his power directly and in person to negotiate monumental deals even with our most dangerous enemies? I would like to think it's the latter. The office was never supposed to be “above” so many tasks of state; the fact that it has become so over the years is not a welcome, or beneficial, development.
As for the hardliner “we don’t talk to our enemies” crowd, usually of the neoconservative variety, Ronald Reagan directly engaged the Soviet Union at the height of the Cold War. The personal relationship between Reagan and Gorbachev that resulted from this approach was key to ending the most perilous standoff in the history of the world. Why is this fact selectively unaccounted for by the same folks who seem to admire Reagan’s every move?
It's not like talking to one’s enemies about a clear path to peace, while also illustrating how bad the alternative option would be in a military sense, is an ineffective geopolitical negotiating strategy. If anything, it's proven to be the most effective in modern times.
You make think Trump is a blustering fool, and he may lack critical foreign and defense policy knowledge, but on this one issue he has the right idea—one that, to be honest, is refreshing to hear."
It is likely China would also back this sort of engagement, and could even help with making it happen. The fact that America's THAAD anti-ballistic missile system has gone active while this news was breaking is a reminder not just of how the region is becoming increasingly militarized and at an alarming rate, but also that China, which directly opposes THAAD's deployment, has interests that are also morphing and becoming more complex due to North Korea's unchecked belligerence.
It will be interesting to see if Pyongyang responds in some way to Trump's overture—the first of its kind he has made while being President of the United States of America.
Contact the author: Tyler@thedrive.com