---
title: "Self-Driving Cars Could Steal 300,000 American Jobs a Year, Goldman Sachs Says"
description: "Bus, taxi, and truck drivers could all be affected by the advent of autonomous vehicles."
date: "2017-05-23"
modified: "2017-05-23"
authors:
  - name: "Kyle Cheromcha"
    job_title: "Editor-in-Chief"
    link: "https://www.thedrive.com/authors/kyle-cheromcha"
url: "https://www.thedrive.com/tech/10557/self-driving-cars-could-steal-300000-american-jobs-a-year-goldman-sachs-says"
categories:
  - "Car Tech"
  - "News"
  - "Self-Driving Tech"
tags:
  - "Autonomous Cars"
  - "Jobs"
  - "self-driving cars"
  - "Trucking"
  - "Uber"
---

# Self-Driving Cars Could Steal 300,000 American Jobs a Year, Goldman Sachs Says

![](<https://www.thedrive.com/wp-content/uploads/images-by-url-td/content/2017/05/otto-truck.png>)
*\<em\>www.thedrive.com</em>*

Fully-autonomous cars may still be on horizon, but that far-off land isn't as distant as a lot of people think. And as we draw closer, many are wondering just what impact that promised future will have on the millions of professional driving jobs in this country. According to a [new report by Goldman Sachs,](<https://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/22/goldman-sachs-analysis-of-autonomous-vehicle-job-loss.html>) the answer is pretty devastating: Self-driving cars and trucks could drain 25,000 jobs *per month*—or 300,000 a year*—*from America's bus, taxi, and truck industries when they finally hit the market.

In 2014, there were approximately 4 million people driving professionally in the United States, 3.1 million of which were part of the trucking industry. That majority, coupled with the fact that companies like [Uber](<https://www.thedrive.com/tech/10048/just-what-exactly-is-uber-freight>) and [Tesla](<https://www.thedrive.com/tech/9793/tesla-give-first-peek-at-its-electric-semi-truck>) are already working to develop self-driving freight transport technology, means that truck drivers could bear the brunt of the predicted job losses. Additionally, the long distances and demanding nature of the work also make trucking a prime target for automation.

The report takes into account the fact that the introduction of [self-driving technology](<https://www.thedrive.com/self-driving-cars/7324/the-way-we-talk-about-autonomy-is-a-lie-and-thats-dangerous>) across the board will be slowed down by red tape, but it predicts that autonomous cars will comprise up to 20 percent of new car sales by the end of the next decade. And despite the fact that those 4 million driving jobs represent 2 percent of the entire American workforce, Goldman Sachs believes the overall labor market will be able to absorb the losses as other sectors expand.

Still, this isn't the greatest news for those who make a living behind the wheel. Or, for that matter, in the conductor's seat; [billionaire Warren Buffet recently warned](<https://www.thestreet.com/story/14145541/1/goldman-autonomous-vehciles-to-displace-25-000-jobs-a-month.html>) that the widespread introduction of autonomous trucks could also eat away at railroad jobs.

## Author
Overseeing an expert staff of writers and editors from his lair in Los Angeles, Kyle shapes The Drive’s singular approach to covering the automotive industry and car culture. He’s been with the site as a writer since 2017, taking over as editor in 2019. On a daily basis, Kyle is responsible for directing The Drive's editorial news and car review content strategies, setting special coverage priorities, managing complex reporting projects, and ensuring what you read on the page meets our high internal standards for quality and trustworthiness. He is also the executive producer of The Drive's YouTube channel, which was relaunched in February 2024 to great acclaim and has accumulated over 14M new views in its first year back on the scene. He hosts a biweekly series on the channel where he breaks down fascinating and complicated stories from the automotive world.

### Author social links  
[Bluesky](<https://bsky.app/profile/kylecheromcha.bsky.social>)  
[Instagram](<https://www.instagram.com/kylecheromcha>)  
[LinkedIn](<https://www.linkedin.com/in/kyle-cheromcha-1550248a/>)